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Reconstruction of Urbanization Levels and the Nature of Over/underurbanization Problems in China
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중국 도시화율의 재구성과 과잉/과소 도시화 문제의 성격

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Type
Academic journal
Author
Journal
The Poputation Association of Korea Korea Journal of Population Studies Vol.27 No.2 KCI Accredited Journals
Published
2004.12
Pages
257 - 289 (35page)

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Reconstruction of Urbanization Levels and the Nature of Over/underurbanization Problems in China
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Abstract· Keywords

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The purpose of this study is to reconstruct the level of urbanization and reexamine the nature of over/underurbanization problems in China. The study begins with a critical question about whether or not the urbanization level of 36.01 percent in 2000, as published in the 2000 Chinese Census Report, is a reliable figure when it is compared with the levels of urbanization, as published in the four previous Census Reports. The answer is in the negative. Thus, the study uses the UN methods of rural/urban population projection to reconstruct two time-series data sets of the Chinese levels of urbanization. The study then attempts to elucidate the nature of over/underurbanization problems using the second data set of 1982-2000 urbanization levels.
This study develops two types of regression models that might help to explain the relationship between urbanization and economic development. Using the country data from the World Bank (2003), it estimates the two regression models, and finds the logarithmic model has more predictive power than the simple linear model does. According to results from the logarithmic equation model, China was apparently overurbanized before the adoption of economic reform policy in 1978, while the problem of underurbanization has become rather a statistically significant phenomenon in more recent years, particularly beginning in the mid-1990s. In this regard, it is very important to note that the strong intervention by the Chinese socialist government in urban affairs (e.g., Hokou registration system) has exerted prohibitive constraints on the "statistical level" of urbanization in contemporary China.
#중국 도시화 #도시/농촌인구 예측 #도시화율 추정 #경제발전 #로그방정식 #도시정책 #과잉/과소 도시화 #Chinese urbanization #rural/urban population projection #estimation of urbanization levels #logarithmic regression model #urban policy #over/under-urbanization

Contents

한국어 초록
Ⅰ. 머리말
Ⅱ. 중국 도시화율 측정의 문제점
Ⅲ. 중국 도시화율 시계열의 재구성
Ⅳ. 조정 도시화율과 과잉/과소 도시화 논쟁의 재검토
Ⅴ. 종합과 함의
참고문헌
ENGLISH ABSTRACT

References (29)

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[학술지(정기간행물)] - 권용옥 / 1997 / 중국농촌인구의 이동경향과 정책 17 : 229 ~ 253 google schola [학술지(정기간행물)] - 김종범 / 1997a / 중국도시화에 대한 소구(상)--1949년 이후를 중심으로 10 : 92 ~ 99 google schola [학술지(정기간행물)] - / 1997b / 중국 도시화에 대한 소고(하)--1949년 이후를 중심으로 11 : 62 ~ 68 google schola [학술지(정기간행물)] - 이강 / 2001 / 산업화된 농민국가'의 출현과정: 중국의 농촌도시간 인구이동과 호구제도의 기능＂ 35 (3) : 197 ~ 217 google schola [학술지(정기간행물)] - 이경희 / 1998 / 중국농민과 호구제도 8 : 111 ~ 145 dbpia

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