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논문 기본 정보

자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
이재범 (국립환경과학원) 이현주 (국립환경과학원) 문경정 (영산강유역환경청) 홍성철 (국립환경과학원) 김덕래 (국립환경과학원) 송창근 (국립환경과학원) 홍유덕 (국립환경과학원)
저널정보
한국대기환경학회 한국대기환경학회지(국문) 한국대기환경학회지 제28권 제1호
발행연도
2012.2
수록면
22 - 38 (17page)

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초록· 키워드

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Adaptation of climate change is necessary to avoid unexpected impacts of climate change caused by human activities. Vulnerability refers to the degree to which system cannot cope with impacts of climate change, encompassing physical, social and economic aspects. Therefore the quantification of climate change impacts and its vulnerability is needed to identify vulnerable regions and to setup the proper strategies for adaptation. In this study, climate change vulnerability is defined as a function of climate exposure, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity. Also, we identified regions vulnerable to ozone due to climate change in Korea using developed proxy variables of vulnerability of regional level.
18 proxy variables are selected through delphi survey to assess vulnerability over human health sector for ozone concentration change due to climate change. Also, we estimate the weighting score of proxy variables from delphi survey.
The results showed that the local regions with higher vulnerability index in the sector of human health are Seoul and Daegu, whereas regions with lower one are Jeollanam-do, Gyeonggi-do, Gwangju, Busan, Daejeon, and Gangwon-do. The regions of high level vulnerability are mainly caused by their high ozone exposure.
We also assessed future vulnerability according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Special Report on Emissions Scenarios (SRES) A2, A1FI, A1T, A1B, B2, and B1 scenarios in 2020s, 2050s and 2100s. The results showed that vulnerability increased in all scenarios due to increased ozone concentrations. Especially vulnerability index is increased by approximately 2 times in A1FI scenarios in the 2020s.
This study could support regionally adjusted adaptation polices and the quantitative background of policy priority as providing the information on the regional vulnerability of ozone due to climate change in Korea.

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Abstract
1. 서론
2. 연구방법
3. 연구결과
4. 결론
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UCI(KEPA) : I410-ECN-0101-2013-539-001535996