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A Decomposition of Decline in Total Fertility Rate in Korea : Effects of Changes in Marriage and Marital Fertility
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한국의 합계출산율 변화요인 분해 : 혼인과 유배우 출산율 변화의 효과

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Type
Academic journal
Author
Chulhee Lee (서울대학교)
Journal
The Poputation Association of Korea Korea Journal of Population Studies Vol.35 No.3 KCI Accredited Journals
Published
2012.12
Pages
117 - 144 (28page)

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A Decomposition of Decline in Total Fertility Rate in Korea : Effects of Changes in Marriage and Marital Fertility
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Abstract· Keywords

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The result of this study’s decomposition analysis suggests that the decline in total fertility rate (TFR) in Korea since 1991 is attributed to decline in nuptiality (the fraction of women who are married). If the entire female population is concerned, the fall in TFR is more than fully accounted for by diminished nuptiality; and the effect of lowered nuptiality is partially offset by increased marital fertility. Even if the influence of changing educational attainment is eliminated, the nuptiality change explains a lion’s share of the fertility decline. Measures of nuptiality and marital fertility are negatively related across years and localities, implying that decline in nuptiality was probably caused by factors that are not related to marital fertility. This study suggests that current population policies focusing on encouraging marital fertility will have limitations in boosting total fertility rate in the long run.
#합계출산율 #유배우 비율 #유배우 출산율 #Total Fertility Rate #Nuptiality #Marital Fertility

Contents

I. 머리말
II. 선행연구의 검토
III. 자료
Ⅳ. 합계출산율 변화의 분해 방법
Ⅴ. 전체 여성 합계출산율 분해요인의 변화
Ⅴ. 합계출산율 분해 결과
Ⅶ. 교육수준별 합계출산율 변화 분해
Ⅷ. 유배우 비율과 유배우 출산율의 결정요인
Ⅸ. 결과의 요약 및 정책적인 함의
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References (6)

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김두섭. IMF 외환위기와 사회경제적 차별출산력의 변화. 한국인구학. 2007 dbpia 박경애. 최근의 출산력과 정책적 함의. 한국인구학. 2007 dbpia 유홍준, 현성민. 경제적 자원이 미혼 남녀의 결혼 연기에 미치는 영향. 한국인구학. 2010 dbpia 은기수. 결혼으로 이행에 있어서 연령규범과 순서규범. 한국인구학. 1995 dbpia 이성용. 경제위기와 저출산. 한국사회학회 사회학대회 논문집. 2006 dbpia

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