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논문 기본 정보

자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
Mariana TSANEVA (American College of Sofia)
저널정보
조선대학교 지식경영연구원 기업과혁신연구 한국비즈니스리뷰 제6권 제2호
발행연도
2013.8
수록면
103 - 115 (13page)

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초록· 키워드

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A comparative study has been done in attempt to evaluate some of the major properties of weighted mixtures of distributions and their predictive ability for risk management purposes. The process of constructing weighted sums of normal distributions has been demonstrated starting from the properties of the most common distributions, continuing with problems that lead to combining individual distributions in mixtures, and finishing with analysis of the predictive ability of two different brands of mixtures: arithmetic and weighted sum of normal distributions. The models was applied to three sets of economic data for South Korea. The estimation of predictive ability in these cases was based on their discrimination ability. The results obtained after performing linear discriminant analysis show better accuracy (between 0.28% and 9.5%) of the weighted sums of normal distributions than the one of the arithmetic sums.

목차

Abstract
I. Introduction
II. Some Statistical Properties of the Most Common Distributions
III. Mixtures of Statistical Distributions
IV. Experiments and Results
V. Discussion and Conclusion
References

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