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논문 기본 정보

자료유형
학술대회자료
저자정보
Na-Ra Kima (Ewha Womans University) Kyung-Shik Shin (Ewha Womans University) Hyunchul Ahn (Kookmin University)
저널정보
한국지능정보시스템학회 한국지능정보시스템학회 학술대회논문집 한국지능정보시스템학회 2013년 춘계학술대회
발행연도
2013.6
수록면
155 - 162 (8page)

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초록· 키워드

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The prediction model is of course the main factor affecting the performance of a knowledge-based system for bankruptcy prediction. Prediction-modeling studies that began with the building of a single best model have progressed to hybrid and ensemble techniques. In ensemble modeling, which combines the outputs of multiple models, the combination scheme is an important issue affecting prediction accuracy. This paper proposes a confidence-based selection approach as part of an ensemble bankruptcy-prediction scheme that can measure unified confidence, even if ensemble members produce different types of continuous-valued outputs. The present experimental results show that when varying the number of models to combine, according to the creation type of ensemble members, the proposed combination method offers the best performance in the ensemble having the largest number of models, even when compared with the methods most often employed in bankruptcy prediction.

목차

Abstract
1. Introduction
2. Review of related studies
3. Research Methodology
4. Model Development
5. Experiments
6. Conclusions
References

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UCI(KEPA) : I410-ECN-0101-2014-000-002751470