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자료유형
학술대회자료
저자정보
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한국정부학회 한국정부학회 학술발표논문집 한국정부학회 2011년도 추계학술발표논문집
발행연도
2011.12
수록면
1 - 11 (11page)

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Scenario writing is useful research method in Futures Studies. Expert-based scenarios are often used in conjunction with Delphi technique to identify, forecast and model outcomes for given issues or situations. Well written, scenarios have the capacity to provide awareness and appreciation of social and historical inputs and possible outcomes to issues and policy responses. They also have significant influence on public attitudes when presented in literary or cinematic form. This paper is a summary of a screenplay that envisions a post-unified Korea where a generation of North Korean “lost boys” are a social problem. This scenario draws from the template of the classic book and movie, A Clockwork Orange, which dealt specifically with government response to criminal behavior by alienated youth. This paper contributes a philosophical and social perspective to a topic that has been primarily treated institutionally as if a kind of engineering problem. That a post-reunification Korea will result in a significant number of young males with few marketable skills and little prospects for a mainstream future should be confronted as a real prospect. That conventional rehabilitation services are very likely to fall short is strongly suggested here.

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