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논문 기본 정보

자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
Myung-Chul Seo (National Institute of Crop Science) Hyeon-Suk Cho (National Institute of Crop Science) Jun-Hwan Kim (National Institute of Crop Science) Wan-Gyu Sang (National Institute of Crop Science) Pyeong Shin (National Institute of Crop Science) Geon Hwi Lee (National Institute of Crop Science)
저널정보
한국토양비료학회 한국토양비료학회지 한국토양비료학회지 제50권 제1호
발행연도
2017.2
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1 - 11 (11page)

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초록· 키워드

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In order to assess risk of high temperature damages about corn during reproduction stages in the future, we carried out analysis of climate change scenarios RCP (Representative Concentration Pathway) 4.5 and RCP8.5 distributed by KMA (Korea Meteorological Administration) in 2012. We established two indexes such as average of annual risk days of high temperature damage which express frequency and strengthen index of high temperature damage. As results of producing maps for 157 cities and counties about average of annual risk days of high temperature damage during total periods of scenarios, the risk of high temperature in RCP8.5 was evaluated to increase at all over nation except inland area of Gangwon province, while RCP4.5 showed similar to present, or little higher. The maps of annual risk days of high temperature damage with 10 years interval in RCP8.5 prospected that the risk for damaging corn growth would increase rapidly from 2030’s. The largest risk of high temperature damage in the future of RCP8.5 was analyzed at Changnyeong county located east-south inland area in Kyeongnam province, while the smallest of risk counties were Pyeongchang, Taebaek, Inje, and Jeongseon. The prospect at 12 counties which is large to produce corn at present and contains large plains have been showed that there will be only a little increase of risk of high temperature at Goesan, Yangpyeong, Hongcheon, Seosan, and Mooju until 2060’s. But considering strengthen index of high temperature damage, most regions analyzed would be prospected to increase rapidly after 2030’s. To cope with high temperature damage of corn in the future, we should develop various practical technologies including breeding adapted varieties and controlling cultivation periods.

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ABSTRACT
Introduction
Materials and Methods
Results and Discussion
Conclusions
References

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UCI(KEPA) : I410-ECN-0101-2017-523-002249917