지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
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초록· 키워드
오류제보하기
For the allergy patient who needs to know the situation about the extent of pollen risk, the National Institute of Meteorological Sciences developed a pollen forecasting system based on the Community Multiscale Air Quality Modeling (CMAQ). In the old system, pollen emission from the oak was estimated just based on the airborne concentration and meteorology factors, resulted in high uncertainty. For improving the quality of current pollen forecasting system, therefore the estimation of pollen emission is now corrected based on the observation of pollen emission at the oak forest to better reflect the real emission pattern. In this study, the performance of the previous (NIMS2014) and current (NIMS2016) model system was compared using observed oak pollen concentration. Daily pollen concentrations and emissions were simulated in pollen season 2016 and accuracy of onset and end of pollen season were evaluated. In the NIMS2014 model, pollen season was longer than actual pollen season; The simulated pollen season started 6 days earlier and finished 13.25 days later than the actual pollen season. The NIMS2016 model, however, the simulated pollen season started only 1.83 days later, and finished 0.25 days later than the actual pollen season, showing the improvement to predict the temporal range of pollen events. Also, the NIMS2016 model shows better performance for the prediction of pollen concentration, while there is a still large uncertainty to capture the maximum pollen concentration at the target site. Continuous efforts to correct these problems will be required in the future.
목차
Abstract
1. 서론
2. 연구방법
3. 연구결과
4. 요약 및 결론
REFERENCES
참고문헌 (26)
참고문헌 신청
Paul J. Beggs / 2010 / Adaptation to Impacts of Climate Change on Aeroallergens and Allergic Respiratory Diseases / International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health 7(8):3006~3021
Burkard / 7-day recording volumetric spore trap
Byun, D. W. / 1999 / Science algorithms of the EPA Models-3 Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system :757
Christos Efstathiou / 2011 / A mechanistic modeling system for estimating large-scale emissions and transport of pollen and co-allergens / Atmospheric Environment 45(13):2260~2276
Helbig, N. / 2004 / Numerical modelling of pollen dispersion on the regional scale / Aerobiologia 20:3~19
Burkard / 7-day recording volumetric spore trap
Byun, D. W. / 1999 / Science algorithms of the EPA Models-3 Community Multiscale Air Quality (CMAQ) modeling system :757
Christos Efstathiou / 2011 / A mechanistic modeling system for estimating large-scale emissions and transport of pollen and co-allergens / Atmospheric Environment 45(13):2260~2276
Helbig, N. / 2004 / Numerical modelling of pollen dispersion on the regional scale / Aerobiologia 20:3~19
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