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논문 기본 정보
- 자료유형
- 학술저널
- 저자정보
- 발행연도
- 2019.1
- 수록면
- 1,154 - 1,162 (9page)
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초록· 키워드
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China is undertaking an energy reform from fossil fuels to clean energy to accomplish CO2 intensity (CI)reduction commitments. After hydropower, nuclear energy is potential based on breadthwise comparisonwith the world and analysis of government energy consumption (EC) plan. This paper establishes aCI energy policy response forecasting model based on national and provincial EC plans. This model isthen applied in Fujian Province to predict its CI from 2016 to 2020. The result shows that CI declines at arange of 43%e53% compared to that in 2005 considering five conditions of economic growth in 2020. Furthermore, Fujian will achieve the national goals in advance because EC is controlled and nuclearenergy ratio increased to 16.4% (the proportion of non-fossil in primary energy is 26.7%). Finally, thedevelopment of nuclear energy in China and the world are analyzed, and several policies for energyoptimization and CI reduction are proposed.
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