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연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
논문 기본 정보
- 자료유형
- 학술저널
- 저자정보
- 발행연도
- 2019.1
- 수록면
- 607 - 617 (11page)
이용수
초록· 키워드
오류제보하기
Global warming and climate change are increasing the intensity of typhoons and hurricanes and thusincreasing the risk effects of typhoon and hurricane hazards on nuclear power plants (NPPs). To reflectthese changes, a new NPP should be designed to endure design-basis hurricane wind speeds correspondingto an exceedance frequency of 10 7/yr. However, the short typhoon and hurricane observationrecords and uncertainties included in the inputs for an estimation cause significant uncertainty in theestimated wind speeds for return periods of longer than 100,000 years. A logic-tree framework is introduced to handle the epistemic uncertainty when estimating windspeeds. Three key parameters of a typhoon wind field model, i.e., the central pressure difference,pressure profile parameter, and radius to maximum wind, are used for constructing logic tree branches. The wind speeds of the simulated typhoons and the probable maximum wind speeds are estimated usingMonte Carlo simulations, and wind hazard curves are derived as a function of the annual exceedanceprobability or return period. A logic tree decreases the epistemic uncertainty included in the wind intensitymodels and provides reasonably acceptable wind speeds
목차
등록된 정보가 없습니다.
참고문헌 (38)
참고문헌 신청
10 CFR 50 Appendix A, General Design Criteria for Nuclear Power Plants, Office of the Federal Register / National Archives and Records Administration, U.S. Government Printing Office
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission / 1987 / Evaluation of External Hazards to Nuclear Power Plants in the United States
T. R. Knutson / 2010 / Tropical cyclones and climate change / Nat. Geosci 3:157~163
Electric Power Research Institute / 2015 / Identification of External Hazards for Analysis in Probabilistic Risk Assessment
U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission / 2007 / Design-basis Tornado and Tornado Missiles for Nuclear Power Plants, Regulatory Guide 1.76 Revision 1 / USNRC
U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission / 1987 / Evaluation of External Hazards to Nuclear Power Plants in the United States
T. R. Knutson / 2010 / Tropical cyclones and climate change / Nat. Geosci 3:157~163
Electric Power Research Institute / 2015 / Identification of External Hazards for Analysis in Probabilistic Risk Assessment
U. S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission / 2007 / Design-basis Tornado and Tornado Missiles for Nuclear Power Plants, Regulatory Guide 1.76 Revision 1 / USNRC
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