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자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
강지훈 (경희대학교)
저널정보
한국무역학회 무역학회지 貿易學會誌 第45卷 第4號
발행연도
2020.8
수록면
107 - 123 (17page)

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The purpose of this paper is to analyze the Granger Causality relations between Korean FDI and exports in Vietnam using time-series from 2005 to 2019. Using 15-industry semi-annual data of Korean FDI and exports toward Vietnam, the Granger Causality Tests were conducted. Var and VEC models were decided after unit-root and cointegration tests of variables. Findings and implications of the empirical tests are as follows. First, unexpectedly FDI did not Grange-cause exports only in one direction. In two industries, food & beverage and medical & chemical products, there were Granger causality relations in both directions. In eight industries including print, publishig, pulp & paper, exports did Grange-cause FDI. In the rest of five industries including automative & trailer industry, there were no Granger Causality relation in both directions. Second, we presume that the both direction-causality relations are desirable phenomenon for Korea. Because Korean FDI and exports are increasing at the same time. On the other hand, substitution relationship between Korea’s exports and FDI occur in the industry that exports did Grange-cause FDI. Finally, more in-depth researches considering Vietnam’s consumer demand and the oriented characteristics of FDI are needed. The results of this research will contribute to understand structural patterns of FDI and exports in Vietnam and to make investment and export decisions.

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Abstract
Ⅰ. 서론
Ⅱ. 이론적 배경과 선행연구
Ⅲ. 한국의 對베트남 FDI 및 수출 현황
Ⅳ. 실증분석
Ⅴ. 결론 및 시사점
References

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