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A Study on the North Korea-U.S. Summit in the Kim Jong-un Era: Focusing on the Two-Level Game Theory
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김정은 시대의 북미 정상회담 연구: 양면게임이론을 중심으로

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Type
Academic journal
Author
Kim Hye-Won (고려대학교 북한학과)
Journal
고려대학교세종캠퍼스 공공정책연구소 Journal of North Korea Studies Journal of North Korea Studies 제7권 제1호 KCI Accredited Journals
Published
2021.1
Pages
79 - 100 (22page)

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A Study on the North Korea-U.S. Summit in the Kim Jong-un Era: Focusing on the Two-Level Game Theory
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Abstract· Keywords

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This study aims to study North Korea-U.S. Summit during the Kim Jong Un era. For this, a more diversified approach to North Korea-U.S. negotiations is attempted through a two-sided game theory that considers both international and domestic dimensions at the same time in international negotiations. In Putnam’s two-level game theory, the U.S.-North Korea negotiations were analyzed in terms of domestic preferences and coalitions, domestic institutions, and negotiators’ strategies. As a result, the U.S. maintained a tougher stance in negotiations with North Korea because it had a smaller win-set than North Korea. Also, the breakdown of the North Korea-U.S. negotiations was due to the lack of overlapping win-set between the two countries. The Hanoi summit broke down because of North Korea’s different stance on dismantling its nuclear facilities in Yongbyon and the U.S. stance on proposing a road-map for dismantling nuclear weapons. Through analysis through two-level game theory, it can be expected that future U.S.-North Korea relations and negotiations will be carried out in conjunction with the domestic politics of the U.S. and the situation inside North Korea. In particular, with the launch of the new Biden administration in 2021, relations between the U.S. and North Korea have taken another turn. For the U.S.-North Korea negotiations to be successfully concluded, it will be important to read the domestic political situations of each country in the process of negotiations, an international political issue.

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References (46)

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김석진 / 2020 / 대북제재가 북한의 시장과 사경제에 미치는 영향 / KDI 북한경제리뷰 dbpia 김재천 / 2016 / 4차 북한 핵실험과 전략적 인내의 종언: 미국의 대북정책 변화 분석 / 통일정책연구 25(1):1~23 dbpia 김재한 / 2018 / 선출인단 이론과 북한 핵 문제 / 통일전략 18(2):183~209 google schola 김진하 / 2019 / 북한 외교정책: 정책패턴과 북핵외교 사례분석 / 통일연구원 google schola 김한나 / 2020 / 미국 유권자의 대북 위협인식과 투표행위 분석: 2018년 중간선거 설문 데이터를 중심으로 / 의정논총 15(2):231~260 dbpia

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