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논문 기본 정보

자료유형
학술저널
저자정보
임형우 (한국환경연구원) 조하현 (연세대학교) 박상언 (연세대학교)
저널정보
한국기후변화학회 한국기후변화학회지 Journal of Climate Change Research Vol.16 No.2
발행연도
2025.4
수록면
157 - 169 (13page)
DOI
10.15531/KSCCR.2025.16.2.157

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초록· 키워드

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This study examines the efficiency of South Korea’s national climate budget in reducing greenhouse gases (GHG), focusing on the GHG Reduction Cognitive Budget Statements from 2023 and 2024. The increasing importance of climate finance highlights the need for effective fiscal strategies to achieve carbon neutrality. Using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) and non-parametric tests, this research evaluates the efficiency of various fiscal programs, addressing the gap between allocated budgets and the financial requirements outlined in the national Carbon Neutrality Master Plan. The findings show that programs centered on technological innovation and private-sector participation, such as industrial GHG reduction projects and loan-based initiatives, exhibit the highest efficiency. Conversely, nature-based solutions like forest restoration and indirect mitigation projects demonstrate lower efficiency. Efficiency differences are significant across project types and funding methods, with agriculture, industry, and international reduction projects ranking highest and carbon sink projects showing the lowest efficiency. Loan-based and grant-supported programs outperform direct government-led initiatives. Despite some high-efficiency programs, the cumulative mitigation impact of these projects by 2050 represents only 1.19% of the 2030 Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) target, emphasizing the need for improved fiscal prioritization. This study underscores the importance of integrating GHG reduction efficiency metrics into climate budget planning to maximize the impact of limited resources and advance South Korea’s carbon neutrality goals.

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ABSTRACT
1. 서론
2. 연구 자료 및 방법론
3. 분석 결과
4. 결론 및 정책 시사점
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