This paper investigates the effect of investment horizons of foreign investors on the quality of accounting earning and the value relevance of earning information. Previous domestic literatures have mostly used foreign investors’ ownership as proxy for foreign investment. But recently, some papers suggested that investment horizons of foreign investors are more proper as the proxy of foreign investors than foreign investors’ ownership. Chen et al.(2007) argue that all institute as investor face a cost-benefit analysis of monitoring versus trading for the investment firm. As monitoring costs decrease with the length of investment horizons in the firm and monitoring benefits increase with it, they argue that long-term institutional investors will specialize in monitoring and influencing efforts rather than trading. Based on their argument, I expect the foreign investors’ monitoring need increases with their investment horizons. And there is a difference in the goal of foreigners’ investment between short-term investment and long-term investment. In general, investors focus on the internal value of investment firm when they consider long-term investment. So my prediction is that long-term foreign investors would have higher quality of accounting earning. The value relevance of accounting information has been considered an important area of accounting research since the introduction of capital market based accounting research by Ball and Brown(1968). Value relevance studies examine the usefulness of accounting information by considering the contemporaneous relationship between accounting information and the stock price. More specifically, these studies examined the usefulness of main items of financial statements by examining the size of R 2 and the significance of regression coefficients from the information perspective (Barth et al. 1998; Collins et al. 1999; Francis and Schipper 1999). However, these studies typically assume market efficiency, firm characteristics and surrounding factors are assumed as independent in the evaluation of stock prices, because these factors reflect idiosyncratic risks. Recently, inconsistent with the efficient market hypothesis (EMH), there have been frequent reports of market anomalies, and thus, there has been a need for examining the value relevance from the measurement perspective. If a market is not efficient, then there exist information asymmetry and different levels of rationality among investors, which in turn can lead to different results for the same piece of information(Black 1986; Merton 1987). For these reasons, this study analyzed relative usefulness of the earning information in terms of the relationship of between the value relevance of earning information and investment horizons of foreign investors. If investors appreciate and reflect the difference in investment horizons of foreign investors in their decision making, there would be the difference of the value relevance of earning information according to investment horizons of foreign investors. So, my prediction is that the longer the investment horizons of foreign investor, the higher the value relevance of earning information. On the other hand, previous overseas literature defines the portfolio turnover ratio as the proxy variable of investment horizon of institutiona investors. The portfolio turnover ratio means how frequently an institutional investors rotates his positions on all stocks of his portfolio, for any given time. Prior studies characterize institutional investors in terms of their portfolio turnover ratio. For example, short-term investors are defined as those exhibiting a high portfolio turnover. But it is important to note that portfolio turnover ratio is not based on the firm level but on the portfolio level. So this paper uses the trading turnover ratio of foreign investors suggested by Kim and Jang(2012) on each firm, not the portfolio turnover ratio. I analyzed whether the investment horizons of foreign investors affect the quality of accounting earning that are measured by discretionary accrual(Ball and Shivakumar, 2006) for 1,628 firm-year samples listed on Korean stock for the 2008-2011 period. And I analyzed whether the investment horizons of foreign investors affect at the extent to which stock prices reflected earning information for 1,909 firm-year sample listed on Korean stock for the 2008-2011 period. The results of the study are summarized as follows. Firstly, I find that foreign investors’ ownership has significant positive relationship with the quality of accounting earning without considering their investment horizons, as in the previous literatures. But considering their investment horizons, I find that he quality of accounting earning do not increase as foreign investors’ ownership increases. To analyze the effect of the investment horizons in more detail, I divide foreign investors into long-term investors group and short-term investors group. I find that there is significant positive relationship between foreign investors’ ownership and the quality of accounting earning only for the long-term investor group. These empirical results mean that the quality of accounting earning does not depend on the ownership level of foreign investors but on their investment horizons. Secondly, I analyze on the degree that the investment horizons of foreign investors affect at the extent to which stock prices reflected earning information. I find that the more investment horizons of foreign investors increase, the more the degree of the value relevance of earning information increase. On the other hand, these findings were supported by additional analyses that used additional discretionary accruals(Dechow and Dichev, 2002; McNichols, 2002), that analysis used the sample is only made up firm that has foreign investors’ ownership more than 3% high and is controled the size of firm. Therefore, according to this study, a study on foreign investors and accounting information should take into account their investment horizons, and the previous literature without considering them has a limit.
제1장 서 론 1제1절 연구배경 및 연구목적 1제2절 연구방법 및 논문의 구성 7제2장 이론적 배경 및 선행연구 9제1절 이론적 배경 92.1.1 외국인투자자의 현황 및 특징 92.1.2 회계이익의 질 142.1.3 회계정보의 가치관련성 17제2절 선행연구 232.2.1 외국인투자자와 회계이익의 질 232.2.2 외국인투자자와 가치관련성 252.2.3 투자기간 관련 연구 262.2.4 본 연구와 선행연구의 차별점 28제3절 연구가설 302.3.1 외국인투자자 투자기간과 회계이익의 질 312.3.2 외국인투자자 투자기간과 이익정보의 가치관련성 34제3장 연구설계 36제1절 연구모형 353.1.1 외국인투자기간과 회계이익의 질 363.1.2 외국인투자기간과 이익정보의 가치관련성 38제2절 변수의 조작적 정의 413.2.1 독립변수 413.2.2 종속변수 453.2.3 통제변수 46제3절 자료수집 및 표본선정 50제4장 실증분석 52제1절 외국인투자기간과 회계이익의 질 524.1.1 기술통계량 524.1.2 상관관계 분석 544.1.3 회귀분석 564.1.4 강건성분석 63제2절 외국인투자기간과 이익정보의 가치관련성 : 당기순이익, 영업현금흐름, 과세소득 측면에서 764.2.1 기술통계량 764.2.2 상관관계 분석 774.2.3 회귀분석 79제3절 추가분석 924.3.1 외국인지분율 3% 이상 표본을 대상으로 한 추가분석934.3.2 기업규모를 통제한 추가분석 97제5장 결 론 99제1절 요약 및 결론 99제2절 연구의 공헌점 및 한계점 1022.2.1 연구의 공헌점 1022.2.2 연구의 한계점 및 미래 연구방향 103참고 문헌 1041. 국외문헌 1042. 국내문헌 107