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논문 기본 정보

자료유형
학위논문
저자정보

장형준 (충북대학교, 충북대학교 대학원)

지도교수
이효상
발행연도
2018
저작권
충북대학교 논문은 저작권에 의해 보호받습니다.

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이 논문의 연구 히스토리 (2)

초록· 키워드

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The risk of natural disasters, such as typhoon, drought, heavy rainfall, flooding and etc. has increased due to abnormal climate and climate changes. These disasters caused huge damages to people and properties. There is the difficulty to predict and prevent the natural disaster due to the lack of observed hydrological data, including runoff and flood peaks. The mid·small catchments, which are a large part of the national land, are ungauged catchments, and it is limited to obtain and manage the observed hydrological data. Research on prediction of hydrological data such as floods and runoff has been carried out for rainfall-runoff analysis at ungauged catchments. However, the current studies are insufficient to apply to the field of water resources. This study developed a regionalised Rainfall-Runoff Model to enhance the accuracy of estimating the runoff at ungauged catchments. This model was developed using runoff characteristics at ungauged catchments in Geum River. The daily hydrological data (rainfall, runoff, evapotranspiration and catchment characteristics) was collected from 2001 to 2015 at 19 catchments in Geum River. Also, in order to evaluate the applicability of the conceptual Rainfall-Runoff Model. Nine models combining MP, CWI, PDM models of the soil moisture accounting and three catchment routing models were applied. Optimized parameters were selected by catchment using the Monte Carlo method for model calibration, and the applicability of parameters was verified by validation. Based on the result of calibration and validation of the nine conceptual rainfall-runoff models, the PDM-2PAR model was selected for the representative optimum model in Geum River catchments. The statistical multiple linear regression equations were developed based on the catchment characteristics and optimized parameters of this model. These equations are regionalised models of parameters in NSE*, RMSE-FH and RMSE-FL objective functions, and were applied to Cheongseong catchment assumed as an ungauged catchment to evaluate the applicability. The results showed that the regionalised models were acceptable with the values of 0.28, 5.79 and 0.13 by NSE*, RMSE-FH and RMSE-FL, respectively. The future studies will include more catchments to improve the statistical regionalised models in predicting runoff in Geum River catchments.

목차

Ⅰ.서 론 1
1.1 연구의 필요성 및 목적 1
1.2 연구동향 3
1.3 연구내용 및 범위 9
Ⅱ. 강우-유출 모형의 기본이론 10
2.1 강우-유출 모형 10
2.2 개념적 강우-유출 모형 12
2.2.1 토양습윤 모형 12
2.2.2 유출추적 모형 20
2.3 목적함수 및 검정방법 24
2.3.1 목적함수 24
2.3.2 검정방법 27
2.4 지역화 모형 29
Ⅲ. 강우-유출 모형의 적용 및 결과 31
3.1 금강유역의 수문자료 31
3.1.1 연구유역 선정 31
3.1.2 수문자료구축 33
3.1.3 금강유역의 특성 39
3.2 강우-유출 모형의 적용 및 결과 42
3.2.1 유출모의 적용 42
3.2.2 유출모의 결과 47
3.2.3 지역화 모형을 위한 강우-유출 모형의 선정 97
Ⅳ. 지역화 모형 개발 및 적용성 평가 101
4.1 지역화 모형 개발 101
4.2 지역화 모형의 평가 105
Ⅴ. 결론 116
참고문헌 119

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