지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
이용수
초록· 키워드
오류제보하기
Due to the increasing of power consumption, it is difficult to construct accurate prediction model for daily peak power demand. It is very important work to know power demand in next day for manager and control power system. In this research, we develop a daily peak power demand prediction method considering of characteristics of day of week. The proposed method is composed of liner model based on AR model and nonlinear model based on ELM to resolve the limitation of a single model. Using data sets between 2006 and 2010 in Korea, the proposed method has been intensively tested. As the prediction results, we confirm that the proposed method makes it possible to effective estimate daily peak power demand than conventional methods.
목차
Abstract
1. 서론
2. 요일 특성을 고려한 일별 최대 전력수요예측 모델
3. 사례연구
4. 결론
References
참고문헌 (12)
참고문헌 신청
1. [학술지(정기간행물)] - 남봉우 / 2008 / 다중회귀분석법을 이용한 지역전력수요예측 알고리즘 / 조명.전기설비학회논문지 22 (2) : 63 ~ 70
2. [학술지(정기간행물)] - R. Ramanathan / 1997 / Short-term forecasts of electricity loads and peaks / International Journal of Forecasting 13 : 161 ~ 174
3. [학술지(정기간행물)] - J. W. Taylor / 2003 / Short-term electricity demand forecasting using double seasonal exponential smoothing / Journal of the Operational Research Society 54 : 799 ~ 805
4. [학술지(정기간행물)] - J. W. Taylor / 2010 / Triple seasonal methods for short-term electricity demand forecasting / European Journal of Operational Research 204 : 139 ~ 152
5. [단행본] - R. Weron / / Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices: A Statistical Approach / Wiley
2. [학술지(정기간행물)] - R. Ramanathan / 1997 / Short-term forecasts of electricity loads and peaks / International Journal of Forecasting 13 : 161 ~ 174
3. [학술지(정기간행물)] - J. W. Taylor / 2003 / Short-term electricity demand forecasting using double seasonal exponential smoothing / Journal of the Operational Research Society 54 : 799 ~ 805
4. [학술지(정기간행물)] - J. W. Taylor / 2010 / Triple seasonal methods for short-term electricity demand forecasting / European Journal of Operational Research 204 : 139 ~ 152
5. [단행본] - R. Weron / / Modeling and Forecasting Electricity Loads and Prices: A Statistical Approach / Wiley
이 논문의 저자 정보
이 논문과 함께 이용한 논문
최근 본 자료
댓글(0)
0
UCI(KEPA) : I410-ECN-0101-2015-500-002895143