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Interrelation and Stability Test in Korea House Market
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주택매매시장의 상호연관성 및 안정성분석

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Type
Academic journal
Author
Sang Sup Cho (호서대학교) In Am Sung (대전대학교)
Journal
Korean Industrial Economic Association Journal of Industrial Economics and Business Vol.29 No.3 KCI Accredited Journals
Published
2016.6
Pages
1,007 - 1,021 (15page)

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Interrelation and Stability Test in Korea House Market
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Abstract· Keywords

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This study examines the interrelation and the stability test of the Korean house market in price fluctuations. We estimate joint probability distributions of the home sales price changes, conduct the interrelation analysis based on derived joint probability distributions and evaluate the stabilities of the individual home sales market by measuring the generalized Hurst exponent. We summarize the results of empirical analysis as follows: First, the interrelation of Gangnan home sales market fluctuations and Gangbuk and the interrelation of Gangnan home sales market fluctuations and Incheon home sales market fluctuations are largest, Gwangju and Ulsan home sales market fluctuations showed a lowest interrelation. Second, looking at the time trend analysis of the house market, we find the Busan was interrelated by Gangnam in recent home sales in view point of market volatility. Finally, the home sales markets in Busan, Gwangju and Daejeon showed stability before 2010, and those housing markets were characterized to be unstable markets after 2010.
#주택매매시장변동 #극대엔트로피원리 #결합확률분포 #상호정보량 #일반화 허스트인자 #주택매매시장안정성 #house market price fluctuation #maximum entropy principle #joint probability #inter-information #generalized hurst exponent #house market stability

Contents

Ⅰ. 서론
Ⅱ. 분석방법론
Ⅲ. 실증분석
Ⅳ. 요약 및 시사점
참고문헌
Abstract

References (18)

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[학술지(정기간행물)] - 문규현 / 2010 / 국내 주택시장의 가격발견 - 매매가격 / 전세가격을 중심으로 / 산업경제연구 23 (2) : 797 ~ 811 dbpia [학술지(정기간행물)] - 서승환 / 2007 / 주택가격 변화의 지역연관성에 관한 연구- 강남구 물결효과를 중심으로 - / 서울도시연구 8 (4) : 1 ~ 13 dbpia [학술지(정기간행물)] - 유한수 / 2007 / 지역간 주택매매가격 변동성의 상관관계에 관한 연구 / 산학경영연구 20 : 15 ~ 27 dbpia [학술지(정기간행물)] - 임상수 / 2008 / 수도권 아파트 매매가격이 지방 아파트 매매가격에 미친 영향- 참여정부의 부동산 안정정책에 따른 구조 변화 / 주택연구 16 (3) : 83 ~ 100 dbpia [학술지(정기간행물)] - 이상경 / 2003 / 서울 주택시장으로부터 지방 주택시장으로의 가겨 및 변동성 이전효과 연구 / 국토계획 38 (7) : 81 ~ 90 google schola

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