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Changes in the Population Structure of Administrative Districts and the Characteristics of Their Different Types
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지역별 인구구조 변화와 유형별 특성 분석

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Type
Academic journal
Author
Journal
한국도시지리학회 한국도시지리학회지 한국도시지리학회지 제20권 제1호 KCI Accredited Journals
Published
2017.1
Pages
27 - 43 (17page)

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Changes in the Population Structure of Administrative Districts and the Characteristics of Their Different Types
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Korea is experiencing rapid changes in population structure due to the lowest fertility rate and highest ageing rate. Since demographic change itself has a persistence that can not be reversed within a short period of time, it is important to understand the characteristics of the demographic changes in detail. The purpose of this study are to analyze the population structure of administrative districts during 2000~2015 and to compare characteristics of changes in the population structure. There is a clear contrast between the districts experiencing population increase over the last 15 years and the districts experiencing population decrease. The key change is that the proportion of the age under 40 has reduced and the proportion of elderly population age over 50 has increased. The decline of the ratio of 20-39 age group was the most prominent in all districts, and the 50-64 age group showed the highest increase. In this study, the cluster analysis has performed based on the population growth rate, population change by age group, population proportion by age group, total fertility and extinction risk index. As a result of the cluster analysis, changes in the demographic structure of districts are divided into 6 groups and it shows that the characteristics of changes in the population structure by 6 groups are quite heterogeneous. This study gives some policy implications for customized countermeasures and the population policy based on the information of characteristics and problems of 6 different groups.
#인구구조 #인구피라미드 #합계출산율 #군집분석 #유형화 #population structure #population pyramid #risk extinction index #cluster analysis #classification

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Bloom, D. / 1998 / Demographic Transitions and Economic Miracles in Emerging Asia / World Bank Economic Review 12 (3) : 419 ~ 455 google schola Bloom, D. / 2000 / Demographic Change and Economic Growthin Asia / Population and Development Review 105 (3) : 319338 ~ google schola Bloom, D. / 2007 / Does Age Structure Forecast Economic Growth? / International Journa lof Forecasting 23 : 569585 ~ google schola Dent, H. / 2014 / The Demographic Cliff: How to Survive and Prosper During the Great Deflation of 2014-2019 / Brilliance Audio google schola European Commission / 2010 / Green Paper: Towards Adequate, Sustainable and Safe European Pension Systems google schola

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