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Potential of regional school consolidation based on decreasing student populations in South Korea
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초・중・고 학령인구 감소에 의한 학교 통폐합 잠재성

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Type
Academic journal
Author
Kim, Jiyun (고려대학교) Kim, Oh Seok (고려대학교)
Journal
The Korean Association Of Regional Geographers Journal of The Korean Association of Regional Geographers Vol.27 No.1 KCI Accredited Journals
Published
2021.2
Pages
55 - 69 (15page)
DOI
10.26863/JKARG.2021.2.27.1.55

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Potential of regional school consolidation based on decreasing student populations in South Korea
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This study predicts which municipalities in South Korea will face many school consolidation cases in the future. In Korean society, the student population is continuously decreasing due to the lowest-low fertility. Numerous local municipalities have seen their schools be merged and closed up to this point. Existing research mainly discusses how to utilize closed schools, but few have attempted to predict where local schools will be merged and closed in the future. This study summarizes the existing discussions on school consolidation and visualizes schools" current geographical distribution in South Korea. With a small-area population projection, the number of student populations (aged 6–17) in 2030 and 2040 is estimated at the municipality level. A correlation analysis is conducted to explain the statistical relationships of decreasing student population and numbers of students and schools. The result suggests that the student population will decrease in most cities and rural counties. The regions with large student populations, accordingly having a high potential of decreasing student population, will encounter many school consolidation cases. This study implies that hollowing out of the local education system, accompanied by school consolidation, will occur even in the metropolitan areas, including Seoul, the capital city of South Korea.
#초저출산 #인구감소 #교육공동화 #지방소멸 #장래인구추계 #lowest-low fertility #depopulation #education hollowing-out #local extinction #population projection

Contents

요약
Abstract
1. 서론
2. 문헌고찰
3. 자료 및 방법론
4. 결과
5. 결론 및 논의
문헌

References (39)

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교육부 / 2016 / 적정규모 학교 육성 강화 및 폐교 활용 활성화 google schola 김오석 / 2015 / 기후변화 적응정책 지원을 위한 토지이용통합모델 개발(I) :1~151 google schola 김오석 / 2016 / 기후변화적응정책 지원을 위한 토지이용통합모델 개발(II) :1~119 google schola 김경화 / 2019 / 신도시 건설에 따른 농촌지역 소규모학교 적정규모학교 육성방안 : 세종시 초등학교를중심으로 google schola 김성수 / 1994 / 농촌사회의 변화와 소규모학교문제 / 한국농업교육학회지 26(3):45~56 google schola

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