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Projection of Future Sea Level Change Based on HadGEM2-AO Due to Ice-sheet and Glaciers
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HadGEM2-AO 기반의 빙상과 빙하에 의한 미래 해수면 변화 전망

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Type
Academic journal
Author
Youngmi Kim (국립기상과학원) Tae-Young Goo (국립기상과학원) Hyejin Moon (국립기상과학원) Juntae Choi (국립기상과학원) Young-Hwa Byun (국립기상과학원)
Journal
Korean Meteorological Society Atmosphere-Korea Vol.29 No.4 KCI Accredited Journals ESCI
Published
2019.11
Pages
367 - 380 (14page)

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Projection of Future Sea Level Change Based on HadGEM2-AO Due to Ice-sheet and Glaciers
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Global warming causes various problems such as the increase of the sea surface temperature, the change of coastlines, ocean acidification and sea level rise. Sea level rise is an especially critical threat to coastal regions where massive population and infrastructure reside. Sea level change is affected by thermal expansion and mass increase. This study projected future sea level changes in the 21st century using the HadGEM2-AO with RCP8.5 scenario. In particular, sea level change due to water mass input from ice-sheets and glaciers melting is studied. Sea level based on surface mass balance of Greenland ice-sheet and Antarctica ice-sheet rose 0.045 m and 0.053 m over the period 1986~2005 to 2081~2100. During the same period, sea level owing to dynamical change on Greenland ice-sheet and Antarctica ice-sheet rose 0.055 m and 0.03 m, respectively. Additionally, glaciers melting results in 0.145 m sea level rise. Although most of the projected sea level changes from HadGEM2-AO are slightly smaller than those from 21 ensemble data of CMIP5, both results are significantly consistent each other within 90% uncertainty range of CMIP5.
#Sea level change #HadGEM2-AO #SMB #glaciers #ice-sheet

Contents

Abstract
1. 서론
2. 자료
3. 미래 해수면 전망 방법
4. 결과
5. 요약 및 결론
REFERENCES

References (54)

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Arendt, A. / 2012 / Randolph glacier inventory [v2.0]: A dataset of global glacier outlines / Global land Ice Measurements from Space initiative (GLIMS) Tech. Rep :35 google schola V. K. Arora / 2011 / Carbon emission limits required to satisfy future representative concentration pathways of greenhouse gases / Geophysical Research Letters 38(5) Crossref 백희정 / 2013 / Climate Change in the 21st Century Simulated by HadGEM2-AO under Representative Concentration Pathways / 한국기상학회지 49(5):603~618 google schola David B. Bahr / 2009 / Sea-level rise from glaciers and ice caps: A lower bound / Geophysical Research Letters 36(3) Crossref Bi, D. / 2013 / The ACCESS coupled model:description, control climate and evaluation / Aust. Meteor. Oceanogr. J 63:41~64 google schola

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