지원사업
학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
커뮤니티
연구자들이 자신의 연구와 전문성을 널리 알리고, 새로운 협력의 기회를 만들 수 있는 네트워킹 공간이에요.
논문 기본 정보
- 자료유형
- 학술저널
- 저자정보
- 저널정보
- 대한산업공학회 Industrial Engineering & Management Systems Industrial Engineering & Management Systems Vol.18 No.4
- 발행연도
- 2019.12
- 수록면
- 808 - 824 (17page)
- DOI
- 10.7232/iems.2019.18.4.808
이용수
초록· 키워드
오류제보하기
Manufacturing activities, in general, consume nearly 35% of total global production of electricity and are responsible for nearly 20% of total global carbon emissions (Graedel et al., 2011). According to Industrial Development Report, the manufacturing sector contributes one in six jobs globally. Since the financial crisis of 2008, there has been increased debate on maintaining sustained growth (Dubey et al., 2015). Food manufacturers have been shifted into the position whereby they have to deal with recent trends of high and volatile commodity prices, transportation and energy cost. For example, “transportation systems are essential to sustenance of human life and business growth. At the same time, they are also source of several negative impacts on human life and their environment. Therefore, they should be effectively controlled to achieve the socio-economic environmental objectives of sustainability” (Sayyadi and Awasthi, 2018a). Consequently, the urge to gain competitive advantages while staying commited to the quality and healthy margins is getting stronger. Demand forecasting can be an advantage or a drawback to a company. Especially, when the products have short-life cycle, it is complicated for transportation, storage and quality management; therefore, an accuracy forecasting would schedule for production planning to avoid later obstacles. Based on the assessment of the financial and logistics information of the Puratos Grand-Place Indochina, five different forecasting techniques including ARIMA, Exponential smoothing, GM(1,1), DGM(1,1) and Verhulst are employed, and their results are evaluated. The results indicate that DGM(1,1) has the best performance with the smallest error. The second best methods were the GM(1,1) and Verhulst. This result strongly supports the claim that Grey Forecasting Models can deal with small, limited and violated sequences of data input. In addition, since the forecast values show small differences from the actual values; if proper investigation can be done on this matter, it would create a huge impact on the company performance for having an accurate prediction of future events.
목차
ABSTRACT
1. INTRODUCTION
2. LITURATURE REVIEW
3. CASE ANALYSIS
4. FINDINGS AND DISCUSSION
5. CONCLUSION AND RECOMMENDATIONS
REFERENCES
참고문헌 (38)
참고문헌 신청
Awasthi, A. / 2019 / A goal-oriented approach based on fuzzy axiomatic design for sustainable mobility project selection / International Journal of Systems Science : Operations & Logistics 6(1):86~98
Dao, C. D. / 2014 / Selective maintenance for multi-state series-parallel systems under economic dependence / Reliability Engineering & System Safety 121:240~249
Duan, C. / 2018 / Selective maintenance scheduling under stochastic maintenance quality with multiple maintenance actions / International Journal of Production Research 56(23):7160~7178
Dubey, R. / 2015 / Building theory of sustainable manufacturing using total interpretive structural modeling / International Journal of Systems Science : Operations & Logistics 2(4):231~247
Abolfazl Gharaei / 2017 / Four-Echelon Integrated Supply Chain Model with Stochastic Constraints Under Shortage Condition: Sequential Quadratic Programming / Industrial Engineering & Management Systems 16(3):316~329
Dao, C. D. / 2014 / Selective maintenance for multi-state series-parallel systems under economic dependence / Reliability Engineering & System Safety 121:240~249
Duan, C. / 2018 / Selective maintenance scheduling under stochastic maintenance quality with multiple maintenance actions / International Journal of Production Research 56(23):7160~7178
Dubey, R. / 2015 / Building theory of sustainable manufacturing using total interpretive structural modeling / International Journal of Systems Science : Operations & Logistics 2(4):231~247
Abolfazl Gharaei / 2017 / Four-Echelon Integrated Supply Chain Model with Stochastic Constraints Under Shortage Condition: Sequential Quadratic Programming / Industrial Engineering & Management Systems 16(3):316~329
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