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학술연구/단체지원/교육 등 연구자 활동을 지속하도록 DBpia가 지원하고 있어요.
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논문 기본 정보
- 자료유형
- 학술저널
- 저자정보
- 저널정보
- 대한산업공학회 Industrial Engineering & Management Systems Industrial Engineering & Management Systems Vol.17 No.1
- 발행연도
- 2018.3
- 수록면
- 72 - 81 (10page)
- DOI
- 10.7232/iems.2018.17.1.072
이용수
초록· 키워드
오류제보하기
Sustainable manufacturing considers that efficiently controlling the early stages of a manufacturing system is an important issue for industry enterprise. However, the data collected at this point is usually limited due to cost and time issues, making it difficult to realize the real situation in the production process. One of the ways to solve this problem is to use a small data build prediction system, such as the various grey methods. Although the grey forecasting model has been successfully adopted in various fields and demonstrated promising results, it can still be further improved. Meanwhile, Chinese bicycles have had a tremendous effect on society. This paper thus combines Chinese bicycle industry proposes a new way to improve forecasting accuracy. The new prediction model is called Rolling-TDEGM(1, 1). The grey model contributes to forecasting the future demand, and the TDE method is applied to optimize the parameters of grey model based on the minimization of forecasting error. Also, the rolling mechanism can keep the real-time data. In this experimental study, the public dataset and a real case are used to confirm the effectiveness of the proposed model; the experiment indicates that the Rolling-TDE-GM(1, 1) can significantly improve prediction precision.
목차
ABSTRACT
1. INTRODUCTION
2. THE MAIN DATA OF THE BICYCLE IN CHINA
3. METHODOLOGY
4. VERIFICATION OF THE PROPOSED METHOD’S EFFICIENCY AND GENERATION PERFORMANCE FOR CHINESE BICYCLE INDUSTRY
5. CONCLUSION
REFERENCES
참고문헌 (20)
참고문헌 신청
[학술지(정기간행물)] - Akay, D. / 2007 / Grey prediction with rolling mechanism for electricity demand of Turkey / Energy 32 (9) : 1670 ~ 1675
[학술지(정기간행물)] - Chiang, W. C. / 1996 / A neural network approach to mutual fund net asset value forecasting / Omega 24 (2) : 205 ~ 215
[단행본] - Eberhart, R. / 1996 / Computational Intelligence PC Tools / Academic Press
[학술지(정기간행물)] - Ho, W. H. / 2010 / Parameter identification of chaotic systems using improved differential evolution algorithm / Nonlinear Dynamics 61 (1) : 29 ~ 41
[학술지(정기간행물)] - Julong, D. / 1982 / Control problem of grey systems / Systems and Control Letters 5 (1) : 288 ~ 294
[학술지(정기간행물)] - Chiang, W. C. / 1996 / A neural network approach to mutual fund net asset value forecasting / Omega 24 (2) : 205 ~ 215
[단행본] - Eberhart, R. / 1996 / Computational Intelligence PC Tools / Academic Press
[학술지(정기간행물)] - Ho, W. H. / 2010 / Parameter identification of chaotic systems using improved differential evolution algorithm / Nonlinear Dynamics 61 (1) : 29 ~ 41
[학술지(정기간행물)] - Julong, D. / 1982 / Control problem of grey systems / Systems and Control Letters 5 (1) : 288 ~ 294
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