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Predicting Chinese Tourism Demand to South Korea Using Grey System Model
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논문 기본 정보

Type
Academic journal
Author
Wang, Zhanwei (Korea Aerospace University) Hwang, Yong-Sik (Sejong University) Choi, Yung Kyun (Dongguk University)
Journal
The Research Institute of Social Science THE JOURNAL OF SOCIAL SCIENCE Vol.25 No.3 KCI Accredited Journals
Published
2018.9
Pages
219 - 234 (16page)
DOI
10.46415/jss.2018.09.25.3.219

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Result
Predicting Chinese Tourism Demand to South Korea Using Grey System Model
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Abstract· Keywords

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This paper tries to analyze the possibility of the realization of the Chinese tourism demand to Korea. China and South Korea’s FTA came into force from December 2015; and in South Korea, the number of Chinese students maintain the first place for many years; furthermore in 2016 South Korea held Korea tourism year in China, which will attract about 8 million Chinese tourists to visit Korea. China"s population will continue to grow in the future, especially the release of the two-child birth policy from last year. Lastly, the quantified forecast of China’s GDP growth and the quantitative trends of China"s per capita GDP growth may increase steadily in the next few years, the results show that the next 5 years (2017~2021),Chinese tourists will have the ability to travel to South Korea. The results provide an important reference for the Korean tourism industry and other relevant departments.
#그레이 시스템 모델 #중국관광객 #관광수요 #사드 #Grey System Model #Chinese Tourists #Tourism Demand #Quantified Forecast #GDP #FTA

Contents

국문초록
Ⅰ. Introduction
Ⅱ. Literature Review
Ⅲ. Research Methodology
Ⅳ. Results
Ⅴ. Conclusions
참고문헌
Abstract

References (24)

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[학술지(정기간행물)] - 김중관 / 2015 / 해외지역연구의 현황 및 발전 방향성 분석: 실학적 관점의 중동학 / 사회과학연구 22 (4) : 385 ~ 400 dbpia [학술지(정기간행물)] - 박한호 / 2015 / 관광 치안서비스 분야를 통한 민간경비산업 활성화 방안 / 사회과학연구 22 (4) : 139 ~ 154 dbpia [학술지(정기간행물)] - 이계영 / 2014 / 중국의 ‘차이나 드림’ 목표달성을 결정하는 대내적 요인 분석 / 사회과학연구 21 (3) : 196 ~ 216 dbpia [학술지(정기간행물)] - 이철한 / 2009 / 국가이미지 홍보방안의 현황과 제언 / 사회과학연구 15 (2) : 151 ~ 176 dbpia [학술지(정기간행물)] - 최화식 / 2015 / 지역축제의 서비스 질이 서비스 만족과 지역이미지에 미치는 영향 / 사회과학연구 22 (2) : 147 ~ 170 dbpia

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UCI(KEPA) : I410-ECN-0101-2018-305-003560675