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Detecting Multiple Bubbles in the Korean Housing Market and Housing Market Policy
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한국 주택시장의 거품 검정과 주택시장 정책

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Type
Academic journal
Author
Yongjae Lee (한국자산평가) Cheolbeom Park (고려대학교)
Journal
Yonsei Economic Research Institute 한국경제학보 한국경제학보 제26권 제2호
Published
2019.1
Pages
277 - 300 (24page)

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Detecting Multiple Bubbles in the Korean Housing Market and Housing Market Policy
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Abstract· Keywords

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We apply the bubble test, proposed by Phillips, Shi and Yu (2015), to the apartment purchase price indices and apartment jeonse price indices in Korea. We find that multiple bubbles have existed in apartment purchase price indices and jeonse price indices for Korea, Seoul, six metropolitan cities and 25 districts in Seoul and that more bubble periods are estimated for apartment purchase price indices than apartment jeonse price indices. Estimated bubble periods from the apartment purchase price index of Seoul shows the highest accordance rate with the base of housing policy. Finally, movements of the interest rate affect the apartment jeonse price indices more strongly than apartment price indices.
#거품 검정법 #거품 기간 추정 #주택시장 정책 #이자율

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References (15)

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박원암 / 2014 / 글로벌 금융위기와 우리나라 주택시장: 특성과 거품검정 / 국제경제연구 20(4):71~95 Crossref 이승석 / 2017 / LTV, DTI 변화가 가계부채에 미치는 영향 및 거시적 파급효과분석 / KERI Insight 17(7):1~20 google schola 이용재 / 2019 / 한국 부동산 시장의 거품과 거품 기간 추정에 관한 연구: 아파트가격 지수 분석을 중심으로 google schola 임규채 / 2006 / 주택시장의 전세가격과 매매가격간의 상호관계에 관한 연구 / 산업경제연구 19(3):1203~1223 dbpia 지인엽 / 2017 / 부동산 시장의 거품 생성 및 붕괴 시점 추정에 관한 연구: 아파트 가격을 중심으로 / 사회과학연구 24(3):79~98 dbpia

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