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Analysis of the Effect of Expected Housing Prices and Liquidity on the Housing Market
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유동성과 주택가격의 기대심리가 실질 주택가격에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구

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Type
Academic journal
Author
Hyeonjin Jeon (경남대학교) SunHee Kwon (대진대학교)
Journal
The Korea Society of Digital Policy & Management 디지털융복합연구 디지털융복합연구 제18권 제11호 KCI Accredited Journals
Published
2020.1
Pages
43 - 49 (7page)

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Analysis of the Effect of Expected Housing Prices and Liquidity on the Housing Market
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Abstract· Keywords

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The purpose of this study was to analyze factors affecting the housing market by setting household loans and M2, which are liquidity indicators, and the industrial production index reflecting economic fluctuations, as variables, and to determine the effect of expected housing prices. An empirical analysis was conducted based on the data from January 2005 to May 2020, and the HP filter was applied to the real house price as the expected house price variable. As a result of the analysis, it was found that real household loans, real M2, and so on, had an effect on house prices, and expectations for past house prices and house prices increased the house prices in the present period. These results show that even though the liquidity expansion is aimed at revitalizing the economy, it can affect housing prices as well.
#주택가격 #자산가격 #유동성 #M2 #가계대출

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References (16)

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Y. Y. Choi. / 2018 / Determinants of the Expected Housing Price and Analysis of Household Characteristics / Housing Finance Research 3:14~31 google schola 전해정 / 2012 / 유동성과 주택가격간의 동학적 상관관계분석-글로벌 금융위기 전후를 중심으로- / 부동산연구 22(2):103~121 google schola K. I. Chung / 2006 / Analysis of the relationship between asset price and liquidity google schola 김세완 / 2009 / 주택시장과 가계대출간의 동태적 관계분석 - 외환위기 전후를 중심으로 / 지역연구 25(4):123~147 dbpia 한정희 / 2010 / 금융위기 전후 주택가격 결정요인으로서의 유동성에 관한 연구 / 한국지역경제연구 8(1):105~127 google schola

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