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Forecasting Supply and Demand for Registered Nurses Workforce in Korea
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간호사인력의 수급 현황과 중장기 추계

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Type
Academic journal
Author
Journal
The Korean Data Analysis Society Journal of The Korean Data Analysis Society Journal of The Korean Data Analysis Society 제19권 제2호 KCI Accredited Journals
Published
2017.1
Pages
1,083 - 1,097 (15page)

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Forecasting Supply and Demand for Registered Nurses Workforce in Korea
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The purpose of this study was to forecast RNs (registered nurses) supply and demand to identify whether RNs are surplus or shortage. A time trend model and an excess-demand index model were developed to estimate supply and demand for RNs. Data were collected from databases focusing publicly accessible data about actual employed RNs and nursing graduates, provided by several national institutes, such as Ministry of Health and Welfare, Korean Educational Development Institute, Korea Health Personnel Licensing Examination Institute. Supply and demand index were initially estimated by measuring the quantity of RNs demanded and supplied, and the excess demand index were finally analyzed over 2018~2030. Based on the year 2018, the supply index and demand index for RNs were projected to be 112.1, 104.7 in 2020, and 172.8, 128.0 in 2030, respectively. Excess demand index for RNs was projected to be less than one until 2030. In conclusion, supply and demand projection results suggest that government should recognize RNs workforce issues and reconsider the future planning of RNs' supply.
#간호사 인력 #간호사 수요 #간호사 공급 #수급 추계. #Nurse qorkforce #Nurse supply #Demand for nurse #Long term forecasting.

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Aiken, L. H. / 2002 / Hospital nurse staffing and patient mortality, nurse burnout, and job dissatisfaction / Journal of the American Medical Association 288 (16) : 1987 ~ 19 google schola Aiken, L. H. / 2014 / Nurse staffing and education and hospital mortality in nine European countries : A retrospective observational study / Lancet 383 (9931) : 1824 ~ 1830 google schola Auerbach, D. I. / 2013 / The nursing workforce in an era of health care reform / New England Journal of Medicine 368 (16) : 1470 ~ 1472 google schola Bae, H. J. / 2016 / Influence of the expansion of entrance quota for nursing program on rural·small sized hospitals / doctoral / Seoul National University google schola Buchan, J. / / The impact of pay increases on nurses' labour market: a review of evidence from four OECD countries google schola

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